Interest Rate Probability Distributions Implied by Derivatives Prices is a daily measure of the distribution of future short-term interest rates, calculated from prices of fixed-income derivatives ...

Julie Young is an experienced financial writer and editor. She specializes in financial analysis in capital planning and investment management. Eric's career includes extensive work in both public and ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

In preparation for our course in March, please read through these ten pages of notes. The (optional) material below comes from a five-week course on "probability" which I teach at Kellogg. Please feel ...