Abstract: The probability and possibility theories are two particular cases of the more general theory of evidence, and probability distribution and possibility distribution (PD) are two different, ...

Interest Rate Probability Distributions Implied by Derivatives Prices is a daily measure of the distribution of future short-term interest rates, calculated from prices of fixed-income derivatives ...

State Key Laboratory of Physical Chemistry of Solid Surfaces and Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Theoretical and Computational Chemistry College of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, Xiamen ...

Options pricing models all revolve around probability theory. Though the math is done for you by your trading platform, we believe that understanding the number crunching behind the scenes will ...

The nonnormality of temperature probability distributions and the physics that drive it are important due to their relationships to the frequency of extreme warm and cold events. Here we use a ...

The hazard produced by natural phenomena on infrastructure and urban populations has been widely studied in the last 50 years. Researchers have recognised that the real danger posed by these phenomena ...

This methodological article aims to present the type I Pareto distribution in a clear and illustrative manner for better understanding among social researchers. It also provides R scripts for ...

Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...